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CARDIOMETAIQ / IN-SILICO TRIAL EXPLORATION

Explore a virtual cohort.
Inspect the assumptions.

Define a synthetic population. Compare treatment and control. See how eligibility, response variability and the number of simulated profiles affect the modelled readout.

RESEARCH DEMONSTRATION · SYNTHETIC DATA
What this demonstration does: analytic weight-loss and responder simulations using synthetic profiles. It is a separate research model from the homepage trajectories. Clinical efficacy, patient-specific accuracy and trial-enrolment requirements are not established by this demonstration.
Trial design
Response & design assumptions

The source also assigns T2DM when sampled HbA1c ≥ 6.7%; the resulting cohort percentage may exceed your input. Residual weight-loss SD is 6 percentage points.

Comparator: synthetic lifestyle-like control. No SGLT2 background is modelled here.

SIMULATED READOUT

Semaglutide vs control

Week 52 · 200 profiles per arm · Seed 7

Results match the design shown.

Body-weight loss (%) difference5.6percentage points · treatment − control
Simulated treatment mean weight loss8.1%Conditional on the displayed assumptions
Simulated control mean weight loss2.5%Synthetic comparator
Virtual profiles per arm200A simulation setting, not an enrolment recommendation

Weight-loss distribution

Virtual participants in each weight-loss range. Negative values indicate weight gain.

02651-20%-12%-3%5%13%22%
SemaglutideControl
View distribution values
Weight-loss range (%)Treatment countControl count
-20.0 to -15.800
-15.8 to -11.702
-11.7 to -7.535
-7.5 to -3.31332
-3.3 to 0.81644
0.8 to 5.03751
5.0 to 9.24829
9.2 to 13.33427
13.3 to 17.5238
17.5 to 21.7172
21.7 to 25.860
25.8 to 30.030

The eligible virtual cohort

525profiles screened

61.9%screen failure

67.7mean age (years)

36.6mean BMI (kg/m²)

90.0%with modelled T2DM

Weight-loss responders

ThresholdTreatmentControl
≥ 5%65.5%33.0%
≥ 10%38.5%14.5%
≥ 15%17.5%2.0%

Exploratory subgroups

GroupN / armModel difference (pp)
Without T2DM2011.1
With T2DM1805.0
BMI ≥ 40415.1
BMI < 401595.7

These are descriptive summaries of synthetic outputs. They do not quantify real-world treatment efficacy, clinical prediction error or the required size of a clinical trial. Subgroup differences are exploratory and reflect the model’s assumptions.

What this workspace runs

This page adapts the virtual-population and analytic weight-loss trial workflow in the supplied CardioMetaIQ application. It uses seeded sampling, correlated baseline features and a synthetic lifestyle-like control. It is separate from the v4.8 ODE trajectories on the homepage.

Generate & screen

Correlated virtual baseline profiles are screened by age, BMI, E/e′ ≥ 13 and NYHA II–III. The same eligible profiles underpin both arms; this is a simulated comparison, not recruitment or randomisation of real participants.

Compare outcomes

The source analytic model estimates weight-loss responses with variability, non-response and residual noise. Positive values mean weight loss; negative values mean weight gain. Diabetes status attenuates the model’s treatment response.

Understand the limits

Increasing virtual sample size reduces sampling variation within this model; it does not establish clinical validity. This page reports descriptive outcomes only. A real study requires independently justified assumptions and a prespecified statistical analysis plan.

No patient data are collected. Results are not evidence of drug efficacy, personalised treatment recommendations or a substitute for a prespecified statistical analysis plan. The source app’s full ODE, imaging, operational forecasting and trial-intelligence modules are not executed on this page.